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Rich and poor students don’t merely enroll in college at different rates; they also complete it at different rates. The graduation gap is even wider than the enrollment gap.
In
2002, researchers with the National Center for Education Statistics
started tracking a cohort of 15,000 high school sophomores. The project,
called the Education Longitudinal Study, recorded information about the students’ academic achievement, college entry, work history and college graduation. A recent publication examines the completed education of these young people, who are now in their late 20s.
The
study divided students into four equally sized groups, or quartiles,
depending on their parents’ education, income and occupation. The
students in the lowest quartile had parents with the lowest income and
education, more likely to work in unskilled jobs. Those in the highest
quartile had parents with the highest income and education, those more
likely to be professionals or managers.
In both groups, most of the teenagers had high hopes for college. Over all, more than 70 percent
of sophomores planned to earn a bachelor’s degree. In the top quartile,
87 percent expected to get at least a bachelor’s, with 24 percent
aiming for an advanced degree.
In
the bottom quartile, 58 percent of students expected to get at least a
bachelor’s degree and 12 percent to go on to graduate school.
Thirteen years later, we can see who achieved their goals.
Among the participants from the most disadvantaged families, just 14 percent had earned a bachelor’s degree.
That
is, one out of four of the disadvantaged students who had hoped to get a
bachelor’s had done so. Among those from the most advantaged families,
60 percent had earned a bachelor’s, about two-thirds of those who had
planned to.
Seeing
these numbers, some readers may wonder whether the poor children were
simply overconfident, with aspirations outstripping their academic
skills. Maybe the low-income children weren’t completing college because
they were not able.
The Advantage of Wealth in College
A low-income college student with top math scores has the
same chance of graduating with a bachelor’s degree (41 percent ) as a
rich student with mediocre scores.
B.A. completion rate in three socio-economic groups, ranked in four groups of math test scores.
74%
Low
Middle
High
Lowest quartile
Second
Third
Highest
5%
12%
23%
41%
8%
19%
35%
53%
21%
41%
61%
74%
The
survey lets us check this hypothesis. As part of the study, high school
students completed a battery of tests in math and reading. And the
results show that the hypothesis is wrong: educational achievement does
not explain the gap in bachelor’s degree attainment.
Consider
the teenagers who scored among the top 25 percent of students on the
math test. In this group, the students from the top socioeconomic
quartile had very high bachelor’s degree completion rates: 74 percent of
the most advantaged students with top math scores earned a four-year
college degree by the time they were in their late 20s.
But
only 41 percent of the poorest students with the top math scores did
so. That’s a completion gap of 33 percentage points, not much smaller
than the overall gap of 46 percentage points.
Academic
skills in high school, at least as measured by a standardized math
test, explain only a small part of the socioeconomic gap in educational
attainment.
Here’s
another startling comparison: A poor teenager with top scores and a
rich teenager with mediocre scores are equally likely to graduate with a
bachelor’s degree. In both groups, 41 percent receive a degree by their
late 20s.
And
even among the affluent students with the lowest scores, 21 percent
managed to receive a bachelor’s degree, compared with just 5 percent of
the poorest students. Put bluntly, class trumps ability when it comes to
college graduation.
Poor students are increasingly falling behind well-off children in their test scores, as recent research by Sean Reardon at Stanford University shows.
That
is, any poor children who manage to score at the top of the class are
increasingly beating the odds. Yet even when they beat the odds in high
school, they still must fight a new set of tough odds when it comes to
completing college.
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